Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 55.55% | 23.46% | 21% |
| Both teams to score 51.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% | 48.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% | 70.51% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% | 17.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.43% | 47.57% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% | 37.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.83% | 74.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.74% Total : 55.54% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.45% 2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.35% 1-2 @ 5.49% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.64% Total : 21% |