Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montreal Impact would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 34.15% | 26.21% | 39.64% |
| Both teams to score 53.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% | 51.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% | 73.11% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% | 28.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% | 64.38% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% | 25.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% | 60.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.15% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.64% |