Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a DC United win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 22.04% | 24.36% | 53.6% |
| Both teams to score 50.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% | 50.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% | 72.74% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.24% | 37.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% | 74.53% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% | 18.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 6.95% 2-1 @ 5.64% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.05% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 0-2 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 5.36% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-4 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.6% |