Columbus Crew
3 - 0
Seattle

Zelarayan (25', 82'), Etienne (31')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Paulo (28'), Smith (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Cup final between Columbus Crew and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Seattle Sounders
42.58%	25.63%	31.79%

Both teams to score 54.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.57%

49.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.53%

71.47%

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91%

23.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07%

56.93%

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81%

29.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87%

65.13%

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 42.58%

Seattle Sounders 31.79%

Draw 25.62%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.79%