Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 45.7% | 25.72% | 28.58% |
| Both teams to score 52.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% | 51.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% | 73.07% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% | 22.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% | 32.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% | 68.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.7% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.58% |