Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 39.62% | 25.4% | 34.98% |
| Both teams to score 56.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% | 47.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% | 69.87% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% | 23.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% | 57.95% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% | 26.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% | 61.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.98% |