Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 21.42% | 25.08% | 53.5% |
| Both teams to score 47.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% | 54.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% | 75.69% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.67% | 40.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.04% | 76.96% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% | 20.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% | 52.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 7.43% 2-1 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.42% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 13.05% 0-2 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-3 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.61% Total : 53.5% |