Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toronto in this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
22.77% | 23.18% | 54.05% |
Both teams to score 55.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% | 45.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% | 67.49% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.11% | 33.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.44% | 70.56% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% | 16.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.54% | 46.46% |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
1-0 @ 6.1% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.77% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.63% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-2 @ 9.07% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.63% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |