Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toronto in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
| 22.77% | 23.18% | 54.05% |
| Both teams to score 55.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% | 45.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% | 67.49% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% | 33.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.44% | 70.56% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% | 16.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% | 46.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 6.1% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.77% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.63% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-2 @ 9.07% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.63% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.04% |