Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 49.39% | 24.97% | 25.63% |
| Both teams to score 52.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.92% | 50.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.95% | 72.05% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% | 20.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% | 52.66% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% | 34.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.22% | 70.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.63% |