Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 57.56% | 23.6% | 18.84% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% | 51.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% | 73.47% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% | 17.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.59% | 48.41% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.38% | 41.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.9% | 78.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 5.58% 4-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.5% Total : 57.55% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.84% |