Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York City FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 41.91% | 25.67% | 32.42% |
| Both teams to score 54.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% | 49.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% | 71.45% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% | 23.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% | 28.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.38% | 64.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.91% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.42% |