Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 22.97% | 24.29% | 52.73% |
| Both teams to score 51.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% | 49.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% | 71.66% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% | 36.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% | 72.98% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% | 18.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.8% | 50.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 5.87% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.97% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 5.3% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.73% |