Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
| 44.7% | 23.78% | 31.51% |
| Both teams to score 60.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.76% | 41.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.36% | 63.63% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% | 18.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.92% | 50.08% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% | 25.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% | 60.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.45% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.51% |