Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 50.49% | 23.33% | 26.18% |
| Both teams to score 58.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% | 42.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% | 64.95% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% | 16.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% | 47.05% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% | 29.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.3% | 65.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 4.06% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-1 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.18% |