Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
| 50.47% | 23.65% | 25.87% |
| Both teams to score 57.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% | 44.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% | 66.61% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% | 17.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% | 48.17% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% | 30.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% | 67.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.75% Total : 50.47% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-1 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.93% Total : 25.87% |