Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 36.63% | 24.51% | 38.86% |
| Both teams to score 59.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.64% | 43.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% | 65.75% |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% | 23.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% | 22.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% | 55.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% 1-0 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.16% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-1 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.86% |