Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 47.63% | 24.36% | 28.01% |
| Both teams to score 56.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% | 45.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% | 68.11% |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% | 19.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.91% | 51.08% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% | 29.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.91% | 66.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.63% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.01% |