Major League Soccer
Jul 28, 2020 at 1.30am UK
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
Earthquakes5 - 2Salt Lake
Espinoza (21'), Eriksson (49' pen., 90+6' pen.), Qazaishvili (61'), Wondolowski (86')
Espinoza (31')
Espinoza (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 49.12% | 22.42% | 28.45% |
| Both teams to score 63.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
