Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 59.22% | 21.61% | 19.18% |
| Both teams to score 54.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.16% | 42.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.76% | 65.24% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% | 14.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.25% | 41.75% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% | 36.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% | 72.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.77% 3-1 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 3.12% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.22% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.09% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 5.19% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.68% Total : 19.18% |