Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 45.97% | 23.13% | 30.89% |
| Both teams to score 62.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% | 38.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% | 60.71% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% | 17.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.71% | 47.29% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% | 24.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.26% | 58.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 4.16% Total : 45.97% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-1 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.89% |