Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 50.75% | 23.69% | 25.55% |
| Both teams to score 56.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% | 44.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% | 67.05% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% | 17.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.71% | 48.29% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% | 31.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% | 67.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.75% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-1 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.55% |