Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1

Apr 18, 2021 at 1am UK

Audi Field

DC United
2 - 1
NY City

Hines-Ike (39'), Canouse (44')
Brillant (9'), Gressel (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Castellanos (15')
Castellanos (74'), Tinnerholm (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.11%. A win for DC United had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	New York City FC
23.1%	21.79%	55.11%

Both teams to score 60.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.58%

38.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.3%

60.7%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.12%

29.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.03%

65.97%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.08%

13.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.63%

41.37%

Score Analysis

DC United 23.1%

New York City FC 55.11%

Draw 21.79%

DC United	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 5.99% 1-0 @ 5.03% 2-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.05% Total : 23.1%	1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.79%	1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 6.42% 0-3 @ 5.31% 2-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.62% 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.47% Total : 55.11%