Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8

May 22, 2021 at 11pm UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Stojanovic (70')
Medran (9'), Offor (90'), Sekulic (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez Pirez (23'), Ulloa (31'), Robinson (61'), Shawcross (68'), Matuidi (68'), Figal (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Inter Miami
45.96%	24.5%	29.53%

Both teams to score 57.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48%

45.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15%

67.85%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09%

19.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96%

52.04%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24%

28.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.41%

64.59%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 45.96%

Inter Miami 29.53%

Draw 24.5%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 7.18% 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.53%