Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
33.75% | 25.23% | 41.02% |
Both teams to score 56.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% | 47.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% | 69.35% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% | 26.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% | 62.1% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% | 22.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% | 56.57% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 8.06% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.75% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |