Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 53.36% | 24.15% | 22.48% |
| Both teams to score 51.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.42% | 49.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% | 71.6% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% | 18.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.26% | 49.74% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.38% | 36.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.59% | 73.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.64% 3-1 @ 5.45% 3-0 @ 5.42% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.35% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.81% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.77% Total : 22.49% |