Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 2

Apr 24, 2021 at 6pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
5 - 0
Cincinnati

Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
69.7%	17.5%	12.8%

Both teams to score 54.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.62%

36.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.48%

58.52%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.61%

9.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.41%

31.59%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84%

40.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2%

76.8%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 69.7%

FC Cincinnati 12.8%

Draw 17.5%

New York City FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 7.59% 4-0 @ 4.92% 4-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.46% 5-0 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-2 @ 0.97% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.42% Total : 69.7%	1-1 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.39% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.5%	1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.62% Total : 12.8%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC

55.6%

Draw

33.3%

FC Cincinnati

11.1%