Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 24.54% | 25.79% | 49.66% |
| Both teams to score 49.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% | 54.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% | 75.58% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% | 37.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% | 74.06% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% | 21.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.93% | 55.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.54% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 12.38% 0-2 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 4.72% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.66% |