Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
| 35.24% | 24.79% | 39.97% |
| Both teams to score 58.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% | 44.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% | 67.22% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% | 24.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% | 59.48% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% | 22.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% | 55.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% 1-0 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.24% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.97% |