Major League Soccer Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Tesho Akindele 1' goal
  • Nani 19' goal
  • Jhegson Mendez 26' yellowcard
  • Christopher Mueller 62' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 80' goal
  • Junior Urso 80' goal
  • yellowcard Caleb Stanko 78'

Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 24, 2021 12.30am
Kansas 1 - 1 Orlando City
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Daryl Dike

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 24, 2021 6.00pm
NY City 5 - 0 Cincinnati
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Brenner

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result

Orlando City 58.87%
Draw 21.98%
FC Cincinnati 19.14%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.56%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.43%
Under 2.5 44.56%
Over 3.5 33.07%
Under 3.5 66.93%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 85.2%
Under 0.5 14.8%
Over 1.5 56.93%
Under 1.5 43.07%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 62.86%
Under 0.5 37.13%
Over 1.5 26.07%
Under 1.5 73.92%

Score analysis

Orlando City 58.86%
Draw 21.98%
FC Cincinnati 19.14%
Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 6.33%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-0 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.17%
5-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4%
0-0 @ 5.49%
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.98%
FC Cincinnati
0-1 @ 5.44%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 19.14%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Aug 2, 2020 12.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 10
Apr 19, 2020 12.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 39
Sep 29, 2019 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nippert Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
  • Allan Cruz 40' goal
  • Allan Cruz 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jhegson Mendez 45'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 61'
  • yellowcard Kyle Smith 89'
  • goal Benji Michel 91'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
May 19, 2019 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT Orlando City Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
  • Tesho Akindele 37' goal
  • Will Johnson 43' yellowcard
  • Jhegson Mendez 45' yellowcard
  • Nani 50' goal
  • Nani 59' goal
  • Tesho Akindele 64' goal
  • Dom Dwyer 74' yellowcard
  • Dom Dwyer 82' goal
  • goal Darren Mattocks 24'
  • yellowcard Alvas Powell 45'
  • yellowcard Victor Ulloa 71'
  • yellowcard Franuel Amaya 75'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Ledesma 87'