Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Orlando City |
| 49.96% | 24.33% | 25.71% |
| Both teams to score 54.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% | 47.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% | 69.57% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% | 18.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.47% | 50.54% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% | 32.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% | 69.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.95% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.54% Total : 25.71% |