Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13

Jul 4, 2021 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
3 - 0
Atlanta

Aliseda (34', 45+6'), Frankowski (58')
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Atlanta United
39.67%	25.42%	34.91%

Both teams to score 56.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.23%

47.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.04%

69.96%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19%

23.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.02%

57.98%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57%

26.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.4%

61.61%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 39.67%

Atlanta United 34.91%

Draw 25.42%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.67%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.91%