Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 39.91% | 27.12% | 32.97% |
| Both teams to score 50.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% | 55.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% | 76.42% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% | 27.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% | 62.43% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% | 31.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% | 67.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.97% |