Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Orlando City |
| 37.18% | 25.79% | 37.02% |
| Both teams to score 54.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% | 49.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% | 71.3% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% | 25.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% | 60.77% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% | 60.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.02% |