Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 9

May 29, 2021 at 6pm UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Orlando City

Clark (35'), Casseres Jr (60')
Davis (65'), Casseres Jr (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van der Water (84')
Carlos (52'), Mendez (56'), Jansson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Orlando City
45.09%	26.71%	28.19%

Both teams to score 49.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.68%

55.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.46%

76.54%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56%

24.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12%

58.88%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17%

34.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43%

71.57%

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 45.09%

Orlando City 28.19%

Draw 26.71%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.09%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.15% Total : 28.19%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Orlando City

New York Red Bulls

41.4%

Draw

13.8%

Orlando City

44.8%