Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 6

May 8, 2021 at 11pm UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
1 - 1
NY City

Nani (52')
Smith (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	New York City FC
33.93%	24.47%	41.61%

Both teams to score 59.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.4%

43.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34%

66%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96%

25.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29%

59.71%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95%

21.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.15%

53.85%

Score Analysis

Orlando City 33.93%

New York City FC 41.61%

Draw 24.46%

Orlando City	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.93%	1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.61%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY City

Orlando City

33.3%

Draw

22.2%

New York City FC

44.4%