Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12

Jun 23, 2021 at 1.02am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
5 - 0
Earthquakes

Nani (7' pen.), Michel (16', 90'), Dike (31', 49')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Judson (25'), Alanis (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
48.39%	21.43%	30.18%

Both teams to score 68.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.61%

30.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.34%

51.66%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.77%

13.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.02%

39.98%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21%

20.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.55%

53.45%

Score Analysis

Orlando City 48.39%

San Jose Earthquakes 30.18%

Draw 21.43%

Orlando City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 5.63% 1-0 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-3 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.2% Total : 48.39%	1-1 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 6.94% 0-0 @ 2.75% 3-3 @ 2.45% Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.43%	1-2 @ 6.86% 0-1 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-2 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.43% 1-4 @ 1.41% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.18%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Earthquakes

Orlando City

93.2%

Draw

6.8%

San Jose Earthquakes

0.0%