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Orlando City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12
Jun 23, 2021 at 1.02am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City
5 - 0
Earthquakes
Nani (7' pen.), Michel (16', 90'), Dike (31', 49')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Judson (25'), Alanis (52')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
48.39%21.43%30.18%
Both teams to score 68.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.61%30.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.34%51.66%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.77%13.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.02%39.98%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55%53.45%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 48.39%
    San Jose Earthquakes 30.18%
    Draw 21.43%
Orlando CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 5.63%
1-0 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 3.8%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-3 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.22%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 48.39%
1-1 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 2.75%
3-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-1 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-2 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.43%
1-4 @ 1.41%
3-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.18%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Earthquakes

Orlando City
93.2%
Draw
6.8%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
44
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2019 3.30am
Gameweek 35
Earthquakes
3-0
Orlando City
Eriksson (3'), Wondolowski (20', 33')
Lopez (63')

Higuita (59'), Dwyer (65'), Rosell (90')
Apr 22, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Orlando City
3-2
Earthquakes
Mueller (2'), Kljestan (35'), Dwyer (69')
Yotun (65')
Jungwirth (78', 90')
Quintana (73')
May 18, 2017 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-1
Orlando City
Wondolowski (83')
Godoy (44'), Urena (62'), Lima (68'), Ceren (70')
Rivas (80')
Pereira (25')
Jun 19, 2016 12.30am
Orlando City
2-2
Earthquakes
Hines (66'), Baptista (91')
Hines (49'), Higuita (69'), Baptista (92')
Barrett (85'), Salinas (94')
Alashe (37'), Francis (39'), Bernardez (47')
May 25, 2015 12am
Earthquakes
1-1
Orlando City
Wondolowski (68' pen.)
Alashe (44')
Kaka (64' pen.)
Paterson (85')
Shea (51')
rhs 2.0
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