Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5

May 8, 2021 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
1 - 2
Earthquakes

Yovani Mendez Rubin (43')
Kreilach (1'), Rusnak (49'), Meram (50'), Besler (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wondolowski (83', 87')
Remedi (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
47.14%	23.73%	29.14%

Both teams to score 59.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.78%

42.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.37%

64.63%

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88%

18.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.93%

49.07%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64%

27.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18%

62.83%

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 47.14%

San Jose Earthquakes 29.14%

Draw 23.72%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.63% Total : 47.14%	1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 7.11% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Earthquakes

Real Salt Lake

50.0%

Draw

35.0%

San Jose Earthquakes

15.0%