Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1

Apr 17, 2021 at 1am UK

BBVA Stadium

Houston
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Rodriguez (39'), Urruti (56')
Picault (29'), Vera (41'), Jones (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marie (74')
Lopez (51'), Remedi (52'), Rios (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.92%) and 3-1 (6.64%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
54.8%	20.86%	24.34%

Both teams to score 65.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.47%

32.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.81%

54.19%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.94%

12.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.44%

37.56%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34%

25.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44%

60.56%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 54.8%

San Jose Earthquakes 24.34%

Draw 20.86%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 6.64% 1-0 @ 6.54% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 4.52% 4-1 @ 3.51% 4-0 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.09% 4-3 @ 1.08% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.71% Total : 54.8%	1-1 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 6.41% 0-0 @ 3.09% 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.86%	1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.99% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.34% Total : 24.34%