Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 44.84% | 23% | 32.15% |
| Both teams to score 63.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.81% | 37.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.6% | 59.39% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% | 17.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.79% | 47.21% |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% | 23.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% | 56.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.22% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.35% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.15% |