Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 50.85% | 24.09% | 25.07% |
| Both teams to score 54.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% | 46.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% | 69.1% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% | 18.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.38% | 49.62% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% | 32.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.61% | 69.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.84% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.07% |