Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 49.19% | 24.24% | 26.56% |
| Both teams to score 55.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% | 68.59% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% | 18.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.64% | 50.36% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% | 31.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.24% Total : 49.19% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.56% |