Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 32.19% | 23.55% | 44.26% |
| Both teams to score 61.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.18% | 39.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.82% | 62.18% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% | 24.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% | 58.6% |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% | 18.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.57% | 49.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.57% 1-0 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.19% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.64% Total : 44.26% |