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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Oct 12, 2020 at 3am UK
Providence Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Portland
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Niezgoda (46', 52'), Mora (86')
Williamson (18'), Farfan (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Beason (69'), Rios (79')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
50.33%21.82%27.85%
Both teams to score 65.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.04%33.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.18%55.81%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11%13.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.69%41.31%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99%24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75%58.25%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 50.33%
    San Jose Earthquakes 27.85%
    Draw 21.82%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.27%
1-0 @ 6.58%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-2 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 4.27%
4-1 @ 3.01%
4-2 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 2.11%
5-1 @ 1.19%
4-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 50.33%
1-1 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 3.33%
3-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-1 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 3.4%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 1.62%
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.85%

rhs 2.0


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