Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 33.55% | 25.55% | 40.9% |
| Both teams to score 55.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.43% | 48.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.31% | 70.69% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% | 27.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% | 63.18% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% | 23.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.41% | 57.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 8.37% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.9% |