Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 46.1% | 24.48% | 29.42% |
| Both teams to score 57.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% | 45.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.18% | 67.82% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% | 19.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% | 51.93% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% | 28.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% | 64.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.42% |