Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 2

Apr 24, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
3 - 1
Dallas

Alanis (34' pen.), Espinoza (49'), Cowell (59')
Lopez (45'), Fierro (53'), Salinas (75'), Remedi (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pepi (79')
Hollingshead (16'), Acosta (25'), Tessmann (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Dallas
51.57%	22.99%	25.44%

Both teams to score 58.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.37%

41.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.96%

64.03%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76%

16.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25%

45.75%

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26%

29.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2%

65.8%

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 51.57%

Dallas 25.44%

Draw 22.99%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 5.86% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.57%	1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.46% 0-1 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 3.55% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.17% Total : 25.44%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Dallas

San Jose Earthquakes

60.0%

Draw

20.0%

Dallas