Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 65.34%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.46% and a draw had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.32%) and 2-3 (5.74%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (4.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 18.46% | 16.2% | 65.34% |
| Both teams to score 74.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.52% | 17.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.58% | 34.41% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% | 20.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% | 53.52% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.61% | 5.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.88% | 21.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 3.08% 3-1 @ 2.11% 1-0 @ 1.76% 2-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.71% Total : 18.46% | 2-2 @ 5.89% 1-1 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 3% 0-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.04% Total : 16.2% | 1-2 @ 7.52% 1-3 @ 7.32% 2-3 @ 5.74% 1-4 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.67% 2-4 @ 4.2% 0-4 @ 3.41% 0-1 @ 3.28% 1-5 @ 3.13% 2-5 @ 2.45% 3-4 @ 2.19% 0-5 @ 1.99% 1-6 @ 1.52% 3-5 @ 1.28% 2-6 @ 1.19% 0-6 @ 0.97% Other @ 4.33% Total : 65.34% |