Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
