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Major League Soccer

FC Dallas
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 at 1am UK
Pizza Hut Park
Portland Timbers

Dallas
4 - 1
Portland

Ricaurte (2'), Obrian (14', 14'), Bressan (45+3'), Sealy (85')
Munjoma (12'), Hollingshead (78'), Ricaurte (82')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Williamson (62')
Bodily (69'), Valeri (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawPortland Timbers
45.98%24.36%29.66%
Both teams to score 57.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2%44.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84%67.16%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39%19.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44%51.56%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69%28.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96%64.04%
Score Analysis
    Dallas 45.98%
    Portland Timbers 29.66%
    Draw 24.36%
DallasDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-1 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.66%

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