Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
| 44.67% | 23.66% | 31.67% |
| Both teams to score 61.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.41% | 40.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.03% | 62.97% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% | 18.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% | 49.66% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% | 59.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.56% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.67% |